Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000255 0.000284 0.000316 0.000353 0.000394 0.000440 0.000494
2025-02-09 0.000197 0.000238 0.000287 0.000348 0.000425 0.000518 0.000640
2025-02-16 0.000166 0.000213 0.000271 0.000351 0.000459 0.000599 0.000799
2025-02-23 0.000143 0.000191 0.000255 0.000348 0.000480 0.000664 0.000943
2025-03-02 0.000127 0.000177 0.000246 0.000350 0.000507 0.000736 0.001107
2025-03-09 0.000114 0.000164 0.000236 0.000349 0.000527 0.000801 0.001268
2025-03-16 0.000099 0.000147 0.000218 0.000334 0.000522 0.000825 0.001366
2025-03-23 0.000092 0.000139 0.000212 0.000336 0.000544 0.000894 0.001550
2025-03-30 0.000087 0.000136 0.000214 0.000349 0.000585 0.001000 0.001816
2025-04-06 0.000079 0.000127 0.000203 0.000341 0.000590 0.001042 0.001968
2025-04-13 0.000071 0.000115 0.000188 0.000323 0.000574 0.001044 0.002043
2025-04-20 0.000067 0.000111 0.000185 0.000326 0.000596 0.001119 0.002278
2025-04-27 0.000065 0.000110 0.000188 0.000340 0.000643 0.001254 0.002672
2025-05-04 0.000060 0.000103 0.000181 0.000336 0.000655 0.001320 0.002928
2025-05-11 0.000056 0.000100 0.000178 0.000339 0.000681 0.001418 0.003283
2025-05-18 0.000053 0.000095 0.000173 0.000336 0.000693 0.001490 0.003588
2025-05-25 0.000050 0.000091 0.000170 0.000338 0.000717 0.001591 0.003987
2025-06-01 0.000047 0.000087 0.000166 0.000337 0.000734 0.001678 0.004370
2025-06-08 0.000043 0.000081 0.000155 0.000323 0.000716 0.001678 0.004512
2025-06-15 0.000041 0.000078 0.000153 0.000324 0.000738 0.001783 0.004981
2025-06-22 0.000040 0.000078 0.000155 0.000337 0.000788 0.001967 0.005740
2025-06-29 0.000037 0.000074 0.000149 0.000329 0.000787 0.002015 0.006077
2025-07-06 0.000034 0.000068 0.000140 0.000312 0.000760 0.001985 0.006153